THESISMEMO RESEARCH

All research articles

Company developments, market context and practical research guides.

Market framework · 2026-09-07

Market breadth: how to tell whether a rally is broadening

An index can rise while many stocks struggle. Use participation, equal-weight returns and sector leadership to test what sits beneath the headline.

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Market framework · 2026-09-07

Growth versus value: how to read a change in market leadership

Relative performance is a starting point. Earnings, valuations and index composition help explain whether a rotation has substance.

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Market framework · 2026-09-07

Reading the VIX: what volatility can—and cannot—tell you about risk

The VIX measures an options-implied expectation, not the direction of the market. Use it with other evidence before drawing a conclusion.

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Daily Macro · 2026-09-06

162,000 jobs: resilience is not a rate decision

August payrolls improved, but employment composition and inflation still matter for the policy response.

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Daily Macro · 2026-09-06

The Fed’s next decision runs through inflation

Waller left both a hold and a hike on the table. The condition matters more than the headline.

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Daily Macro · 2026-09-06

July PCE inflation: monthly pace versus annual pressure

The pace and the level tell different stories. Neither should be read in isolation.

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Daily Macro · 2026-09-06

Spending rose; purchasing volume barely moved

Nominal sales are not the same as real demand. The distinction matters for earnings.

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Daily Macro · 2026-09-06

Job openings need to turn into actual hiring

Vacancies, hires and quits describe different parts of the labor market. Watch the conversion.

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Daily Macro · 2026-09-06

PPI, then CPI: two tests before the Fed

September 10–11 brings producer and consumer inflation. Prepare scenarios, not predictions.

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Commodity Research · 2026-09-06

Gold: the dollar, yields and safety can disagree

A haven narrative alone is incomplete. Track the opportunity cost of holding gold too.

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Commodity Research · 2026-09-06

Oil risk needs a physical supply test

Separate a risk premium from barrels actually lost. Inventories and spare capacity change the outcome.

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Commodity Research · 2026-09-06

Gas storage: a national build hides regional draws

The latest storage increase was not uniform. Regional balances deserve a closer look.

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Commodity Research · 2026-09-06

Copper’s demand story is bigger than one theme

Power infrastructure matters, but so do construction, manufacturing and recycled supply.

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Commodity Research · 2026-09-06

Silver is not simply a smaller gold trade

Industrial demand and investment demand create different sensitivities to the same macro news.

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Commodity Research · 2026-09-06

WASDE: yields matter, but ending stocks decide the balance

The September crop update is ahead. Read supply and demand revisions together.

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US Stock Academy · 2026-09-06

Read an earnings release

A practical sequence for comparing results, guidance and the expectations already in the share price.

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US Stock Academy · 2026-09-06

Build a testable investment thesis

Turn a company story into a set of claims you can check—and change when the evidence changes.

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US Stock Academy · 2026-09-06

Interpret sector breadth

Understand what participation measures tell you—and why sector ETF breadth is not stock breadth.

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US Stock Academy · 2026-09-06

Separate growth from cash generation

Follow revenue through working capital and investment to see whether growth is producing cash.

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US Stock Academy · 2026-09-06

Understand market, limit and stop orders

Learn the trade-off between execution certainty and price control before placing an order.

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US Stock Academy · 2026-09-06

Understand diversification and position sizing

Look through the number of holdings to the risks that can move them together.

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US Stock Academy · 2026-09-06

US stock market hours: daylight saving, holidays and local time

Know when the regular session opens, and check the calendar before placing an order.

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US Stock Academy · 2026-09-06

Premarket and after-hours trading: orders, liquidity and risks

Understand why a trade outside the regular session can behave differently.

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US Stock Academy · 2026-09-06

How to choose a US stock broker: regulation, fees and account security

Compare the legal entity and total service—not just a familiar app or a zero-commission headline.

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US Stock Academy · 2026-09-06

How to buy US stocks: account setup, funding and your first order

A beginner’s checklist from verifying an account to reviewing a completed trade.

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US Stock Academy · 2026-09-06

10 common US stock investing mistakes—and a checklist to avoid them

Check your evidence, exposure and execution before a small oversight becomes a larger problem.

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Cloud & Software · 2026-09-05

Microsoft’s AI growth is clear. The next test is cash returns.

Azure and Copilot offer two routes to AI monetization. Microsoft’s June-quarter results show why infrastructure spending, renewals and cash conversion belong in the same investment thesis.

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Cloud & Platforms · 2026-09-05

Google Cloud is accelerating—but Search still anchors Alphabet’s AI thesis

Alphabet’s June-quarter results connect rapid cloud growth with a resilient search business. Can both fund AI expansion while improving the economics for each shareholder?

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Semiconductors · 2026-09-03

Broadcom’s AI revenue jumped 221%—so why did the outlook still disappoint?

Broadcom reported $16.7 billion of quarterly AI semiconductor revenue and guided to $21.7 billion next quarter. The premarket decline shows how quickly exceptional growth can become the minimum expectation.

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AI Infrastructure · 2026-09-03

Dell’s AI server demand is moving from neoclouds into the enterprise

Dell says more than 6,500 customers now buy its AI Factory portfolio, with enterprise and repeat-customer activity accelerating. The debate is shifting from orders to mix, supply and cash conversion.

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